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Tuesday, June 20, 2017

Recent Strategies $GOOGL $QQQ $DIS

It has been quite a while since I last posted results of the algorithm.

Unfortunately it had stopped working. And I'm not referring to bad results or any of that. It had just stopped sending me notifications each morning. Just like that, it broke.
And my IT guy did not have the time to check it out, so I kind of let it wither and die.

I did however learned quite a few things in option strategies lately.

I did read quite extensively on options about two years ago (back when I had dreams of being a Wall Street trader), but that adventure did not do well to my bank account (to make a long story short, I ended up blowing my account... twice!)

It was a good thing I had that experience of failure, because as a starting day-trader, I had too much emotions involved. I was eager to win every trade, and win big at that! I looking to capture five-baggers and more using lotto options. I was, plain and simple, an idiot, swooned by the magic and fantasy of "Mr. Market".

But then, something unexpected happened this year.
I have been taking classes for an investment manager license. In Israel you must pass two exams and undergo 9 months of training to get your official license to manage other people's money.
I enlisted to the program just out of my pure interest in the stock market. I did not think I was about to learn something new, but was intrigued to get to know other players from the industry and hear about the different options (literally and figuratively).

And so, after 6 months of classes where we learned about options strategies, and pricing of bonds and options, I can honestly say I look at markets differently now.
It is as if I can see "the Matrix", I can feel how certain strategies will do better, and how a simple Call or Put are just taking full-on risk without thinking.

And so, last week, which was a pretty volatile week, having seen Goldman Sachs' report on the tech industry, and having seen all our favorite stocks - which are now dubbed FAAMG (for Facebook, Apple, Amazon, Microsoft, and Google (Alphabet)) - take a big dump on investors, I decided to try my knowledge in the market and searched for some opportunity.

So, I was thinking that the volatility was justified, given how these stocks just sailed higher and higher for weeks on end. Therefore I decided that this time it's not going to be BTMFD (buy the motherf***ing deep) and Nasdaq's to drop has finally come.

So for last week I constructed about 4-5 different strategies. For each one I was selling puts and calls to gain from premium loss and eventually bought them back at lower prices.

FOR ALL THESE 5 STRATEGIES I BOOKED PROFITS OF $280 IN A SINGLE WEEK.
That was huge for me! Until last week, I was used to making a profit of $300-$400 on 1 option call or put and then losing it all and then some from all the other options I would buy.

The strategies I used varied. There was an Iron Condor, a butterfly, and a simple bull/bear spread.

After analyzing my trades here are the important key aspects to keep in mind when entering an options strategy position:

1. Risk management as a key to not lose sleep - one of the strategies I had was an Iron Condor on GOOGL. Now, GOOGL had lost about 6% at the bottom of the week's trading. My Iron Condor went nuts during this week. I especially remember how before the Fed's rate hike my position was down $1,000 and 1.5 hours later it was up $200. That was an incredibly tough trade to hold and not sell. If realized, that loss would have ended my aspirations to use options ever again.
Luckily I ended up with a nice win, but I no longer take such sizable positions where I could lose more than $1,000 (which is a lot for my small-ish account).

2. Do not search for those "Hail Mary"s  - as I told you before, those lotto options are not good for you. They end up financing the brokers with fees. Even if you do win a lotto option, you will not respect that trade's winnings and will quickly lose those gains buying another lotto option.
I started looking at strategies where it is HIGHLY LIKELY to make a profit. If you offer me a strategy with 95% win probability and a 10% return on my investment - I will take it every time! And if there is none, then I will sit on my hands and wait for it to come. They always do eventually!

3. Do technical analysis as biased-free as possible - try not to think of stocks as companies. It is very hard to do. But during times like these, practically all stocks crumble to pieces and break down. And even though I truly am a worshiper of Tesla ($TSLA), once Mr. Market says it's bear-time, I will create a strategy that will make me money if TSLA stays below a certain resistance level.


One example of an option strategy that I currently have:
$DIS
I LOVE DISNEY
I just wanted to open with that.
Having said that, the stock has seen some finer up-days.
It's been trending down from its 52-week high of $116.10 since the end of April. Having seen the down trend, once the market was breaking down, I knew $DIS would not trade higher anytime soon. My hypothesis was that a specific resistance will not be challenged by DIS.
That hypothesis has been confirming itself with lower highs ever since.
Just take a look at the chart:

You can see from the trend line that resistance in June 9th was around $107.
So I looked up option strategies where $DIS trades below $107 and over $100, thinking that will be its short-term support.
And so I sold an Iron Condor with strike prices 95,100,105,110.
My Performance forecast looks like this (using http://www.optionsprofitcalculator.com as the market just closed):

As you can see, as long as DIS stays in the range of 98.40-106.60, I will profit from this strategy. As of today, due to DIS's big down-day of -1.3%, my strategy is up around 21%. I intend to close the position as long as the conditions are in my favor.

I currently have open positions on GOOGL (an Iron Condor around 955-975) for the end of this week and a Butterfly Call on QQQ around 139 for this week as well.
Currently all of my positions are green and positive, but again, I am not looking for those home-runners! for $DIS I can expect max gain of around 46%. For QQQ it's 94% (in the only case of the index closing at 139) but the expected probability for profit is 51% at this time. Not bad.

Check out my Essential Reading List here (I may receive some compensation if you purchase anything on Amazon following my links)
Disclosure: Nothing on this site should ever be considered to be advice, research or an invitation to buy or sell any securities, please see my About page for a full disclaimer.

Monday, April 3, 2017

New signals for 04-03-2017 $COF $ETFC $FITB $KEY $M $PBCT $INTU $SJM

Hi everyone,

We have several new buy and sell signals for today.



New Buy signals - I would not enter any of the following positions, as the technical chart does not seem favorable, and almost all stocks look to be at the top of their downward channel, except maybe $M, if you believe the company can get back up there:

$COF 

$ETFC 

$FITB 

$KEY 

$M 

$PBCT

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New Sell signals - would carefully enter Short here, as these stocks have already took quite a beating in the past few weeks:

$INTU 


$SJM

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That's it for today. Have a great one!


To see general results of the algorithm click here.

Check out my Essential Reading List here (I may receive some compensation if you purchase anything on Amazon following my links)

TK



Full Disclosure: Nothing on this site should ever be considered to be advice, research or an invitation to buy or sell any securities, please see my About page for a full disclaimer.

Friday, March 31, 2017

New signals for 3-31-2017 $KSS $DAL $JWN $LYB $URBN $AAL $SPG $UAL $YUM $SLG

Hi everyone,

Following that long get away, there have been several, mostly Buy signals, during the past week.

I will not be analyzing the signals, unless requested specifically.

Buy signals for March 30th:
New Buy signals:
$DAL
$JWN
$LYB
$URBN

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Buy signals for March 29th:
New Buy signals:
$AAL
$SPG
$UAL
$YUM


New Sell signals in the last trading day:
$SLG


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P.S. That L3 ($LVLT) put position turned out quite for the better during this past week, with the stock just touching support levels around $55.50. I banked the down-move for a 70%-100% profit in two rounds on Tuesday.



That's it for today. Have a great one!

To see general results of the algorithm click here.
Check out my Essential Reading List here (I may receive some compensation if you purchase anything on Amazon following my links)

TK


Full Disclosure: Nothing on this site should ever be considered to be advice, research or an invitation to buy or sell any securities, please see my About page for a full disclaimer.

Saturday, March 25, 2017

A heads up

Hi everyone,

I will be gone for a sort-of vacation from tomorrow until Thursday night, so I'll try to keep everyone posted by Friday.
Hopefully the markets won't be too volatile during the next week.


To see general results of the algorithm click here.
Check out my Essential Reading List here (I may receive some compensation if you purchase anything on Amazon following my links)

TK


Full Disclosure: Nothing on this site should ever be considered to be advice, research or an invitation to buy or sell any securities, please see my About page for a full disclaimer.

Thursday, March 23, 2017

New signals for 03-23-2017 $IP $BBT $COF $DFS $DG $ETFC $FITB $JWN $KEY $KSS $LNC $M $PBCT $TGT $F $VRSK

Hi everyone,

Tuesday was kind of chaotic in the markets, with the S&P trading lower than 1% for the first time in more than 100 days.

It is not unexpected then, that my UltimateAlgorithm posted multiple Sell signals (and 1 Buy signal).

Here they are, there's too many so I will not analyze them today:

New Buy signals in the last trading day:
IP


New Sell signals in the last trading day:
BBT
COF
DFS
DG
ETFC
FITB
JWN
KEY
KSS
LNC
M
PBCT
TGT


For Monday, we received a couple more signals:

New Buy signals in the last trading day (1):
VRSK


New Sell signals in the last trading day (1):
F

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That's it for today. Have a great one!

To see general results of the algorithm click here.
Check out my Essential Reading List here (I may receive some compensation if you purchase anything on Amazon following my links)

TK


Full Disclosure: Nothing on this site should ever be considered to be advice, research or an invitation to buy or sell any securities, please see my About page for a full disclaimer.

Tuesday, March 21, 2017

Market Update $NVDA

Hi Everyone,

So, after initially buying a Put (and losing money on it), I bought a 110 Call for April 21 (right around when the Buy signal for $NVDA was received)

Well, good news is it finally worked out.
Last price for yesterday on $NVDA saw it almost reaching $110.
I sold my Call (which I had bought when NVDA was trading around $100) for about 120% profit. Not bad all in all.

I am still in Short on $LVLT which has not done much in the last trading sessions.


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That's it for today. Have a great one!

To see general results of the algorithm click here.
Check out my Essential Reading List here (I may receive some compensation if you purchase anything on Amazon following my links)

TK

Full Disclosure: Nothing on this site should ever be considered to be advice, research or an invitation to buy or sell any securities, please see my About page for a full disclaimer.

Wednesday, March 15, 2017

New signals for 3-15-2017 $NVDA $INTC $UAL $VNO $VTR $WFM

Hi everyone,

Important update - I exited my position when $NVDA broke off its trend, as can be shown in the following chart:

Buy signal was given to $NVDA (last price: $101.78)
For today, my UltimateAlgorithm switched hats and NVDA is now a Buy.
I took a loss on my put position that I posted earlier this week.

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Sell signal was given to $INTC (last price: $35.18)
Intel's stock has been trending lower recently and is trading on a bearish wedge.
My algo says Sell right now. Would consider a short under support around $34.90.


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Sell signal was given to $UAL (last price: $66.55)
United Airlines stock seems to have fallen off a cliff on yesterday's action.

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Sell signal was given to $VNO (last price: $102.45)

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Sell signal was given to $VTR (last price: $59.36)
Similar pattern to $VNO. Doesn't look good.

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Sell signal was given to $VTR (last price: $59.36)
This one is similar to the previous two but it seems to be converging, which could imply a big move coming up. Which way though, I could not tell. Would simply stay away.

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That's it for today. Have a great one!

To see general results of the algorithm click here.
Check out my Essential Reading List here (I may receive some compensation if you purchase anything on Amazon following my links)

TK

Full Disclosure: Nothing on this site should ever be considered to be advice, research or an invitation to buy or sell any securities, please see my About page for a full disclaimer.

Sunday, March 12, 2017

New signals for 3-13-2017 $EQT $IP $SPG

Hi everyone,

For the start of the trading week we have 3 new Sell signals.

Sell signal was given to $EQT (last price: $57.08)

Hopefully if any of you tracked my Buy signal posted on January 24th, you also put a stop-loss where I cautioned support, around the $61.50 level. Since the Buy signal, the stock gained about 3% at most before dropping more than 10% as of last week.
Now it's official, and the stock is a Sell according to my algorithm.
So the stock has been dropping quite sharply lately, but I would expect a short bounce from near support to the top of the channel before further declines can occur.
The odds are not great from this position, so I would not enter a Short right here.

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Sell signal was given to $IP (last price: $50.70)
International Paper stock seems to be wedging down recently, and the pattern is expected to break any day now. My algorithm says Sell, and I think a cautious trade could be profitable here.


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Sell signal was given to $SPG (last price: $168.17)
Simon Property Group just made fresh 52-week lows. This price level was last seen in 2014. Definitely a down-trodden stock!
The UltimateAlgorithm says to Sell here, and a Short may also be in order. Take a stop-loss order above $175, but keep in mind that this may just be a BIG down move, I'm talking about a move that
would last for months until support is found.


That's it for today. Have a great one!

To see general results of the algorithm click here.
Check out my Essential Reading List here (I may receive some compensation if you purchase anything on Amazon following my links)

TK

Full Disclosure: Nothing on this site should ever be considered to be advice, research or an invitation to buy or sell any securities, please see my About page for a full disclaimer.

Friday, March 10, 2017

New signals for 3-10-2017 $TRIP $MSI $AES $HRL $LVLT $MAT $NBL $URBN

Hi everyone,

The past week saw little activity of signals from my algorithm.
However, for today and yesterday we received a bunch of new Buy and Sell signals.

To begin with our Buy Signals:
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Buy signal was given to $TRIP (last price: $43.59)
The tide may be turning to the positive for TripAdvisor stock, at least in the short term. Looking back to 2014, TRIP has peaked during that year, and ever since has been on a downward trending channel. It appears to be trading at the bottom of that channel, and the UltimateAlgorithm seems to think it should bounce from here.


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Buy signal was given to $MSI (last price: $81.37)
A measured move by MSI gets us a price target around $89 (about 9.5% reward) while the risk seems to be just under $78.70 (about 3.35% risk). This makes it an attractive setup for Long.

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Sell signal was given to $AES (last price: $11.06)
The stock seems to trade in a downward channel. I would enter Short on breaking below $11.

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Sell signal was given to $HRL (last price: $34.55)

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Sell signal was given to $LVLT (last price: $55.86)
A nice trending channel has emerged for $LVLT. Combined with the algo's Sell signal this looks ripe for a Short.

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Sell signal was given to $MAT (last price: $25.20)
Following its December 17th Sell signal, the UltimateAlgorithm sees another Sell opportunity in Mattel stock.
I believe it is a moderate risk:reward and would consider a Short under $24.75.


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Sell signal was given to $NBL (last price: $34.63)
Would seek a Short under $32.87.

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Sell signal was given to $URBN (last price: $24.72)

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That's it for today. Have a great one!

To see general results of the algorithm click here.
Check out my Essential Reading List here (I may receive some compensation if you purchase anything on Amazon following my links)

TK

Full Disclosure: Nothing on this site should ever be considered to be advice, research or an invitation to buy or sell any securities, please see my About page for a full disclaimer.

Tuesday, March 7, 2017

Market Update $NVDA

Hi everyone,

Following yesterday's Sell signal on Nvidia stock, I decided to join the bandwagon and entered a small Short position.

I set up a trade as follows: Buy-to-Open April 21 PUT option with strike price 90. My limit order was filled at $1.88 when the stock was trading around $97.70

I honestly believe this stock is highly overvalued and that the price should decline rapidly within the next 30 days to around $85-80.

I will put a stop-loss limit order to protect my position off course.

For today, my algorithm did not produce any new signals.

That's it for today. Have a great one!

To see general results of the algorithm click here.
Check out my Essential Reading List here (I may receive some compensation if you purchase anything on Amazon following my links)

TK

Full Disclosure: Nothing on this site should ever be considered to be advice, research or an invitation to buy or sell any securities, please see my About page for a full disclaimer.

Sunday, March 5, 2017

New signals for 03-06-2017 $NVDA $DVN

Hi everyone,

I know, I haven't posted for almost a week. We've had some trouble with the algorithm, so we did not recieve any new notifications for most of last week.

We did, however, recieve 2 interesting signals on Thursday and Friday.

Sell signal was given to $NVDA (last price: $98.43)
It is without question that Nvidia's stock was one of the best performing stocks in the S&P500 in 2016, having rallied close to 250% to a market cap of $60 billion. Reasons for the rally included a new line of GPUs which were just incredible, and the high demand for its hardware in the auto industrry.
However, as of last week, the stock was given a Sell!
We can look at the weekly chart and notice that the stock is now already down 18% from its 52-week highs of $120.92 (just 3 weeks ago).

It looks like the stock may be forming a Head & Shoulders, meaning it could drop way lower from here.
Following a smart stop-loss above its trending downward channel brings a risk:reward of 2.9 with a price target around $80.

In short, I would enter Short here with a cautios stop-loss around $102.6 and reduce it as the stock continue down-hill.

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Buy signal was given to $DVN (last price: $43.35)
I don't see the upside in this stock currently. But the UltimateAlgorithm has been known to "foresee" a sudden rally in stocks just before they occur.




That's it for today. Have a great one!

To see general results of the algorithm click here.
Check out my Essential Reading List here (I may receive some compensation if you purchase anything on Amazon following my links)

TK

Full Disclosure: Nothing on this site should ever be considered to be advice, research or an invitation to buy or sell any securities, please see my About page for a full disclaimer.

Sunday, February 26, 2017

New signals for 02-27-2017 $BLL $CTL $DNB $AN $SLB $TRIP

Hi everyone,

For today we have several Buy signals and a few Sell signals. I don't have much time to review them so I'll just provide you with the signals:

Buy signal was given to $BLL (last price: $73.07)
A former Sell, now it is a Buy.

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Buy signal was given to $CTL (last price: $24.58)

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Buy signal was given to $DNB (last price: $105.60)

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Sell signal was given to $AN (last price: $46.83)

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Sell signal was given to $SLB (last price: $80.15)

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Sell signal was given to $TRIP (last price: $42.62)

*****************************************

That's it for today. Have a great one!

To see general results of the algorithm click here.
Check out my Essential Reading List here (I may receive some compensation if you purchase anything on Amazon following my links)

TK

Full Disclosure: Nothing on this site should ever be considered to be advice, research or an invitation to buy or sell any securities, please see my About page for a full disclaimer.

Thursday, February 23, 2017

New signals for 02-23-2017 $PAYX $BHI

Hi everyone,

For today we have one new Buy signal and one Sell signal:

Buy signal was given to $PAYX (last price: $59.60)
I'm not thrilled about this setup, the stock has climbed around 3.5% in the past week and a half. So this one is running hot, and it could continue climbing higher, but the risk:reward is not amazing.
I would enter a Long position on a small pullback (around $58.80).

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Sell signal was given to $BHI (last price: $44.33)
Baker Hughes has been on a bearish wedge lately.
Once broken this can be a very nice position to trade Short.
Enter Short below $60 with a stop-loss above $62.15. My price-target for a drop is around $54.07 which implies over 10% drop.


*****************************************

That's it for today. Have a great one!

To see general results of the algorithm click here.
Check out my Essential Reading List here (I may receive some compensation if you purchase anything on Amazon following my links)

TK

Full Disclosure: Nothing on this site should ever be considered to be advice, research or an invitation to buy or sell any securities, please see my About page for a full disclaimer.

Wednesday, February 22, 2017

New signals for 02-22-2017 $MET $PEG $OKE

Hi everyone,

For today we have 2 new Buy signals and one Sell signal:

Buy signal was given to $MET (last price: $53.35)
Metlife stock was given a Sell signal on February 6th. That did not turn out too well, and the stock has reached my posted stop-loss. Now it is a Buy according to my UltimateAlgorithm. I would act in caution here, as it seems the stock is still looking for a direction to go.

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Buy signal was given to $PEG (last price: $44.33)
$PEG broke out yesterday's from a small sideways trend that began in January. This could mean a leg up is bound. with a stop-loss under that trend, the stock could climb 5% in the near-term.


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Buy signal was given to $OKE (last price: $54.22)
Oneok stock has been consolidating in a bearish wedge for several weeks now.
It looks ripe for breakdown just a few trading sessions from today.
Look for a Short under the support line (around $53.40).

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That's it for today. Have a great one!

To see general results of the algorithm click here.
Check out my Essential Reading List here (I may receive some compensation if you purchase anything on Amazon following my links)

TK

Full Disclosure: Nothing on this site should ever be considered to be advice, research or an invitation to buy or sell any securities, please see my About page for a full disclaimer.

Sunday, February 19, 2017

New signals for 02-21-2017 $HES $SNA $FTI $KR


Hi everyone,

I was supposed to post on Friday before the market open, but couldn't find the time. Hopefully next week will be a bit more manageable and I will resume normal posting conditions­čśâ

For the next trading day we have 2 new Buy signals:

Buy signal was given to $HES (last price: $51.75)
If my algorithm is right, then the risk:reward here is great! I would enter a position on a gap up (above $52) with a stop-loss under $50.


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Buy signal was given to $SNA (last price: $172.57)
Following the stock's Sell signal on February 6th post, the stock did not cave too hard (although it did drop about 2% in the following week, but that could hardly be considered a successful short trade (and I did warn that I had not liked that setup in the first place).
Anyway, now the algorithm has exited the Short position and entered a Long position.
I would actually not enter fully here (maybe a small position), but wait for the stock to go above $176 level and above that big red candle from February 16th.

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On Friday, February 17th, 1 Buy signal was received by my UltimateAlgorithm, however I couldn't find the time to post it, so I'm posting it now (with Friday's closing price as reference off course):

Buy signal was given to $FTI (last price: $32.10)

Upon crossing the resistance line currently going around $32.50, this may turn out to be a great trade.


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That's it for today. I hope to continue post every day (I just gotta find the right time to do it)



To see general results of the algorithm click here.
Check out my Essential Reading List here (I may receive some compensation if you purchase anything on Amazon following my links)

TK

Full Disclosure: Nothing on this site should ever be considered to be advice, research or an invitation to buy or sell any securities, please see my About page for a full disclaimer.

Thursday, February 16, 2017

A much needed update for the last week

Hi everyone,
Work has been pretty busy lately so I hadn't had the chance to post new signals. 

However, activity has been pretty high this week and I am just upset that I couldn't post in real time.
So I will post here all of this week's signals in a single post. I will be referring the last price to yesterday's close.

For February 14th we had 5 Buy signals:

Buy signal was given to $ESRX (last price: $69.46)
Express Scripts stock was just not long ago a Sell (at January 31st, I actually did not like the setup when posted it). However, it did drop around 3.5% just two days later. So you may have had some short selling and profiting from it. Now it's a Buy again! and a great one from the looks of it, as it crossed over a nice wedge pattern.

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Buy signal was given to $GE (last price: $30.35)
Looks good from here.

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Buy signal was given to $KIM (last price: $24.14)
Would not touch it unless crosses above $25.30

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Buy signal was given to $TSCO (last price: $72.73)

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Buy signal was given to $VAR (last price: $81.12)
Varian Medical stock was a Sell on January 30th, and here I am a bit confused. On TradingView it seems the stock only went up. But looking at the chart I posted back on January 30th, the stock traded at $88.80. Google Finance also confirms it. So it would seem the stock dropped around 10% in that time.
Now it is a Buy, and it did move in a positive direction in the last two trading sessions, but I would be careful here.

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For February 15th we had 3 Buy signals:

Buy signal was given to $APD (last price: $142.38)
Looks ready to fill its gap to $147

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Buy signal was given to $MCK (last price: $69.46)
A former Sell signal (from January 30th), I did not like this setup from the beginning. Well, now it's a Buy again.

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Buy signal was given to $SYY (last price: $52.75)
This is also a former Sell signal (from January 27th). I hit this one spot on! my price target was $50, and it was hit on February 6th. Check my original post here.
From here, a Long position with a tight stop-loss (around $51.60) can get you 5% profits in the near-term, if the stock breaks through its downward channel.

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For February 16th we have 3 Buy signals and 1 Sell signal:

Buy signal was given to $CTXS (last price: $80.16)
Looks like that ship has sailed. May be a potential candidate on a pullback to $77-$78.

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Buy signal was given to $MUR (last price: $28.19)
This stock is on a downtrend chanel. Would be careful to enter long here.

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Buy signal was given to $UA (last price: $19.86)
Under Armour was once Wall Street's retail darling. It has dissappointed investors in the last earnings release, and is trying to "get back on the horse" and fill the gap to $24.7. Don't like the story right now. My algorithm thinks it's a buy though, so I can't really argue with it.

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Sell signal was given to $AKAM (last price: $63.90)
Definitely looks like a right Short position is in order here. I would enter Short here under $63.16 with a stop-loss above $64.60 due to the stock trading at a tight sideways channel.

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That's it for today. Have a great one!

To see general results of the algorithm click here.
Check out my Essential Reading List here (I may receive some compensation if you purchase anything on Amazon following my links)

TK

Full Disclosure: Nothing on this site should ever be considered to be advice, research or an invitation to buy or sell any securities, please see my About page for a full disclaimer.

Monday, February 13, 2017

New signals for 02-13-2017 $AAP $NUE $SBUX $AZO $EQR $HST $WBA $APD $DNB

Hi everyone,

Couldn't find the time on Friday to post new signals, so I'll just put them all together with today's signals. It's kind of a long list now, so I won't be doing any analysis, just provide with the signal itself.


For February 10th we had 4 Buy signals:

Buy signal was given to $AZO (last price: $740.65)

Buy signal was given to $EQR (last price: $61.93)

Buy signal was given to $HST (last price: $18.36)

Buy signal was given to $WBA (last price: $83.31)


For today we have 3 Buy signals and 2 Sell signals:

Buy signal was given to $AAP (last price: $164.05)

Buy signal was given to $NUE (last price: $60.99)

Buy signal was given to $SBUX (last price: $56.22)

Sell signal was given to $APD (last price: $140.13)

Sell signal was given to $DNB (last price: $100.75)

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Just be careful when you enter a position (short or long). I really recommend you read on my algorithm before hurrying to press that Buy or Sell button on your trading platform.

To see general results of the algorithm click here.
Check out my Essential Reading List here (I may receive some compensation if you purchase anything on Amazon following my links)

TK

Full Disclosure: Nothing on this site should ever be considered to be advice, research or an invitation to buy or sell any securities, please see my About page for a full disclaimer.

Thursday, February 9, 2017

New signals for 02-09-2017 $STT $WU $IPG

For today we have 2 new Buy signals (of past Sells) and 1 new Sell signal:

Buy signal was given to $STT (last price: $77.50)
Following a Sell signal for $STT on January 31st, State Street failed to fall off the virtual cliff and is currently on Buy status by my algorithm.
I would enter a position in case this trading session ends on a positive note, since that would mean the trend downwards was broken.

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Buy signal was given to $WU (last price: $19.98)
Following a Sell signal for WU on January 27th, the stock did not drop as anticipated.
Today the algorithm suggests getting rid of your Short and enter a Long position.
Risk:reward here looks pretty attractive.

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Sell signal was given to $IPG (last price: $19.98)
The risk:reward here does not seem too attractive. Stop-loss around $23.96, with a price target of at least $21.84 puts the risk:reward at 1.33. PASS.

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To see general results of the algorithm click here.
Check out my Essential Reading List here (I may receive some compensation if you purchase anything on Amazon following my links)

TK

Full Disclosure: Nothing on this site should ever be considered to be advice, research or an invitation to buy or sell any securities, please see my About page for a full disclaimer.

Wednesday, February 8, 2017

New signals for 02-08-2017 $CA $JNPR $BLL $HUM $PAYX

For today we have 2 new Buy signals and 3 new Sell signals.

Buy signal was given to $CA (last price: $31.49)

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Buy signal was given to $JNPR (last price: $27.20)
Juniper Networks stock has been on a small downtrend lately, coming off its recent high of $29.21 (about 6.5% lower when comparing yesterday's closing price).
It could come back to those levels, given it reaches $27.70 in the next several days.

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Sell signal was given to $BLL (last price: $72.62)
The stock has gone down pretty hard lately and broke a support level at $73. The algorithm says Sell.

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Sell signal was given to $HUM (last price: $195.24)
After rallying some 28% for 19 trading sessions almost on a steep uptrend, the stock has dropped 5% in past 12 trading sessions. The algorithm says Sell here if you haven't had the chance yet.
We could see the stock falling an additional 9-10% to come back to its pre-rally levels (around $175).

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Sell signal was given to $PAYX (last price: $57.57)
Paychex dropped about 6.5% in the last 9 trading sessions. The algorithm says Sell if you haven't had the chance yet. This could go lower an additional 6.5% to around $54 which is the previous cycle's support level.


To see general results of the algorithm click here.
Check out my Essential Reading List here (I may receive some compensation if you purchase anything on Amazon following my links)

TK

Full Disclosure: Nothing on this site should ever be considered to be advice, research or an invitation to buy or sell any securities, please see my About page for a full disclaimer.

Tuesday, February 7, 2017

New signals for 02-07-2017 $PFG

Hey everyone,

For today we have only one Buy signal, so I'll get right to it:

Buy signal was given to $PFG (last price: $59.42)

Following a gap up from February 2nd, PFG was given a buy signal by my algorithm.
The stock is closing in on its all-time high of $61.34 from December 2016. I would enter a position when the record is broken which is about 3% higher from yesterday's close.
But my algorithm suggests now is as good a time as any. Your call.
In case the stock does break new all-time highs, the sky's the limit. Looks like it could go further 20 points in the near-term (several months)

Good luck,

To see general results of the algorithm click here.
Check out my Essential Reading List here (I may receive some compensation if you purchase anything on Amazon following my links)

TK

Full Disclosure: Nothing on this site should ever be considered to be advice, research or an invitation to buy or sell any securities, please see my About page for a full disclaimer.

Monday, February 6, 2017

New signals for 02-06-2017 $BMY $NOC $WMT $FDX $MET $SNA

Hi everyone,

The UltimateAlgorithm did not work properly for the past few days. That is why I did not post anything new. But for now it's working again, so let's get to it.

There are 3 new Buy signals and 3 new Sell signals for the upcoming trading session.

Buy signal was given to $BMY (last price: $50.78)

On January 24th I posted a Sell signal on Bristol Myers Squib stock, while stating the high volatility of the stock. Since my post the stock dropped more than 5% in two trading sessions, only to recover quickly during the last week. So, hopefully you were able to make a quick buck and get out of the Short position.

Now, according to the UltimateAlgorithm, it is high time for Buying!
The stock has gone over recent resistance and may fill the gap to $55.30-ish (about 9% reward).
I would enter a Long position here with a stop-loss under $50 for protection.


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Buy signal was given to $NOC (last price: $231.36)

Another past Sell signal turned into a Buy, Northrop Grumman was featured just last week on January 30th, but here a stop-loss would have made you exit the position last Friday.
Right now it seems to have broken a recent resistance and the stock is headed for higher grounds according to my algorithm.

Consider putting a tight stop-loss as the trend is very delicate.

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Buy signal was given to $WMT (last price: $66.50)

It may appear that Wal-Mart is also breaking its recent downward trend, however I would be very cautious with this stock and put a tight stop-loss around $65.60.

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Sell signal was given to $FDX (last price: $188.21)

FedEx is probably seeing increased pressure from Amazon ($AMZN) who is said to have acquired a $1.5bn cargo hangar capable of dispatching 200 flights each day. The algorithm certainly thinks FDX is currently a NoGo.
Sell (short) under $184 where support was last met.

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Sell signal was given to $MET (last price: $51.77)
MetLife saw its stock drop almost 5% in one trading session last week. The algorithm saw this as a signal and ordered a Sell (short) order.

A tight stop-loss over $53.07 may present with an attractive risk:reward opportunity to the downside.



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Sell signal was given to $SNA (last price: $169.78)
I don't like the odds here at Snap On stock. The risk:reward seems too low for my taste.
Anyway, the algorithm ordered a Sell in this level.


To see general results of the algorithm click here.
Check out my Essential Reading List here (I may receive some compensation if you purchase anything on Amazon following my links)

TK

Full Disclosure: Nothing on this site should ever be considered to be advice, research or an invitation to buy or sell any securities, please see my About page for a full disclaimer.

Tuesday, January 31, 2017

New signals for 01-31-2017 $SIG $XRAY $ESRX $STT

Yesterday was a fun day.. NOT!

Trump's immigration orders affected the market mostly in a negative way. Now investors are (finally) starting to realize what damages this guy is capable of.

The funny thing is, since Trump was elected the markets went up pretty sharply (look at the banking sector in particular). Oh how the tides turn. Mr. Market is a precarious b***h!

This may be the start of a pullback. Following yesterday's drop of 0.6-0.8% in the leading indices, the future currently point to a red start. But I'm still holding onto my positions (mainly ETFs with enough diversification to minimize risk, but still holding onto $VIAV $TIF and $AYR).

For today we have a mix of 2 Buy signals and 2 Sell signals.

Buy signal was given to $SIG (last price: $79.16)
Stop-loss at $71.76 (just below previous support) and a price target of $92.78 (next resistance).
Some wide price range brings in plenty of risk here. I would enter a Long position above $85.

Buy signal was given to $XRAY (last price: $56.34)

The great thing about this setup, is that Dentsply Sirona stock has been foming a super-clear technical trend line since December, that if broken will probably lead to higher prices.
Buy above $57, stop-loss under $55. I really like this setup (around 3.5 risk:reward ratio with a PT of $60.90)



Sell signal was given to $ESRX (last price: $68.11)

Similar trend to that of $XRAY (look above) just steeper and with limited upside potential.
Stop-loss above $70, PT at $64.50. Not loving this setup.

Sell signal was given to $STT (last price: $76.20)

Looking at the chart, it seems $STT is falling off a cliff any day now. Perhaps it has already started falling!


Would probably sell a position here if I had one, and might enter short with a wide stop-loss (around $81) with hopes to ride it down all the way to $69 and lower.



To see general results of the algorithm click here.
Check out my Essential Reading List here (I may receive some compensation if you purchase anything on Amazon following my links)

TK

Full Disclosure: Nothing on this site should ever be considered to be advice, research or an invitation to buy or sell any securities, please see my About page for a full disclaimer.

Monday, January 30, 2017

New signals for 01-30-2017 $MCK $NOC $VAR

Hi everyone,

For today we have three new Sell signals

Sell signal was given to $MCK (last price: $136.74)
It seems my UltimateAlgorithm thinks that Mckesson Corp. stock wants test out support at $123.60. But a stop-loss to around $150 makes this trade a not-too-great opportunity. I would pass this one.

Sell signal was given to $NOC (last price: $229.83)
Northrup Grumman stock shows an attractive risk:reward.
If the stock is able to fill the gap under $223, then it could present with a nice profit opportunity. Check out the following chart for hints of a price target and stop-loss:



Sell signal was given to $VAR (last price: $88.80)
Despite the previous trading sessions's rally of 2.7%, Varian Medical was given a sell by my UltimateAlgorithm.
I actually really like this setup, and it would seem the stock is going to break sooner than later:



To see general results of the algorithm click here.
Check out my Essential Reading List here (I may receive some compensation if you purchase anything on Amazon following my links)

TK

Full Disclosure: Nothing on this site should ever be considered to be advice, research or an invitation to buy or sell any securities, please see my About page for a full disclaimer.

Friday, January 27, 2017

NEW signals for 01-27-2017 $SYY $WU

Some new signals for today:

Sell signal was given to $SYY (last price: $53.03)

Sysco stock has been on a downtrend since December 20th, 2016. It seems to continue going in that direction, according to the UltimateAlgorithm. I would enter a position on a light recovery around $54 with a stop-loss at $54.80 and a Short price target of $50 and under.



Sell signal was given to $WU (last price: $19.59)
It seems as if Western Union stock has fallen off a cliff in the last few trading sessions, having dropped around 13% from its early-January highs.
A bet on further down days could prove attractive, given a stop-loss around $20.20 and a price target of $18.00. With a risk:reward of 2.85 this setup looks good in my eyes.



Last night, Alphabet ($GOOG, $GOOGL) reported earnings together with some other giants Microsoft ($MSFT) and Intel ($INTC). Preliminary action suggested not great results, Google having disappointed investors and analysts with its bottom-line results.
This could drag all of NASDAQ and the market as a whole to a red day/week. We will have to see how it ends, though.


To see general results of the algorithm click here.
Check out my Essential Reading List here (I may receive some compensation if you purchase anything on Amazon following my links)

TK

Full Disclosure: Nothing on this site should ever be considered to be advice, research or an invitation to buy or sell any securities, please see my About page for a full disclaimer.

Thursday, January 26, 2017

Performance Review December 16th to January 26th $ATVI $MAT $JWN $MCO $BMY

I've been working on producing a chronological list of performance of  signals given through my UltimateAlgorithm and that have been posted on this blog.

It should be noted that only a month or so has passed since I started this blog (about 40 days to be precise), and it is still early to announce any dominant trading strategy (long or short) through the system.


So here are the results:


As you may probably notice, some stocks are missing. This is due to the fact that some stocks already had the chance to reverse-signal since the first signal had been given. For example, $MCO was given a Sell signal on December 28th, and then a Buy signal on January 12th. I've only included the latter, as it was a bit tough to display the sell signal.
Also, I was not able to put $ACN on Excel without the software changing the spelling to CAN. So I passed it, but looking at the stock it did not do much during that period.

All in all, when examining at the average performance of Buy signals, we are looking at an average of 0.5% per stock.
When examining the average performance of Sell signals, we are looking at an average of -1.1% per stock.
So, to sum it up, currently the algorithm is doing it's job pretty well with some notable winners:
$ATVI (Long) - shot up 8% in 31 days,
$MAT (Short) - tanked 8% in 31 days,
$JWN (Short) - tanked 9% in 25 days,
$MCO (Long) - shot up 9.5% in 12 days,
$BMY (Short) - fell 4% in 4 days.

One big loser which stank up my Buy performance is $PRGO which tanked 14.48% in 28 days. It hasn't yet received a Sell signal from the algorithm, but it is highly likely to get it in the following day, as 14% is usually a stop-loss target.



To see general results of the algorithm click here.
Check out my Essential Reading List here (I may receive some compensation if you purchase anything on Amazon following my links)

TK

Full Disclosure: Nothing on this site should ever be considered to be advice, research or an invitation to buy or sell any securities, please see my About page for a full disclaimer.

New signals for 01-26-2017 $AMG $HRS $AET

Hey everyone,

Yet another great day on the stock market with all three major indexes, Dow Jones, S&P 500 and NASDAQ hitting new all-time highs! Dow 20,000!

For today we have three new signals from my UltimateAlgorithm.

A Buy signal was given for $AMG stock (last price: $145.70)
Nice risk:reward here as it seems the stock is rallying towards $162 range.


A Buy signal was given to $HRS (last price: $101.12)
I would enter a position above the near resistance level in the following chart:


A Sell signal was given to $AET ($119.14)
Similar pattern to $HRS, only on the short side. I would enter a short position under the near support in the following chart:



To see general results of the algorithm click here.
Check out my Essential Reading List here (I may receive some compensation if you purchase anything on Amazon following my links)

TK

Full Disclosure: Nothing on this site should ever be considered to be advice, research or an invitation to buy or sell any securities, please see my About page for a full disclaimer.

Wednesday, January 25, 2017

New signals for 01-25-2017 $KSS $VFC $BK $CELG $DG $DLTR

Hi everyone,

We have plenty of signal action for today with 2 new Buy signals and 4 new Sell signals

For starters, I posted on January 11th a Sell signal for VFC, let's have a look at what the stock did since then:



As you can see, VFC dropped up to 4.84% of its posted signal price in just 4 trading days!

Today the stock has recovered it (and hopefully so have you), and the stock was given a Buy signal (last price: $52.68).
Combined with last night's Buy signal for $M (Macy's) it seems as though the retail sector is experiencing a light rally. VFC looks ripe for outperformance with an attractive risk:reward of 2.24 (risk: 4.14% to $50.50; reward: 9.28% to $57.59).

An additional Buy signal was given to $KSS (last price: $40.26). I do not like this setup as it still could go lower.

Sell signals:

$BK (last price: $44.63) - has a long way to drop, looks pretty good for a short.

$CELG (last price: $112.45) - not great risk:reward here, would stay away for now.

$DG (last price: $71.75) - looks ripe for a short, nice risk:reward

$DLTR (last price: $76.88) - looks like a tight downward range, does not seem attractive to my eyes.

That's all the time I have for today, that table of signal performance is slowly, but surely, coming!

To see general results of the algorithm click here.
Check out my Essential Reading List here (I may receive some compensation if you purchase anything on Amazon following my links)

TK

Full Disclosure: Nothing on this site should ever be considered to be advice, research or an invitation to buy or sell any securities, please see my About page for a full disclaimer.

Tuesday, January 24, 2017

Some Updates 01-24-2017 $MCO $EQT $HPQ $M $BMY

Hey guys,

Have not posted much lately, I was busy snowboarding in the French Alps (Val Thorens FTW)

To start with some lovely news, $MCO has been behaving exactly as predicted just two weeks ago when it traded at $95.02. It has since gone up about 7%! 
A $10,000 position would net right now a profit of about $720 (before commissions, fees and taxes), in 12 days.

[I'll work on providing a table which summarizes performance of past signals for people to understand the massive impact of these trade signals]

Some new signals for today
Buy signal for $EQT (last price: $64.03)
I posted a Sell signal for EQT also about two weeks ago. It did drop around 3% during that time but has since rebounded and is again on the same level when the first Sell signal was posted. Right now the algorithm says BUY. Technically the signal was provided prior to today's massive 2.6% run of the stock, but I am not going to count it as I haven't had the chance to post it until now, when it is after market hours (will try to post on time in future posts).
This is still a nice setup at this level, with support around $61.50 (risk: 4%) and resistance at $68.50 (reward: 7%).

A Buy signal was given today to $HPQ (last price: $15.17), and again It should be noted that signals were provided by the algorithm prior to today's opening bell, I just hadn't had the chance to post these precious tips. So again, I will not count today's great 3.4% run as I'm only posting the signal after market hours.

I would look for a small pullback to around $14.70 before entering a long position here as the risk:reward is not attractive.

A Buy signal was given today to $M (last price: $29.98). Macy's was given a Sell signal on January 9th and had since dropped up to 4% but also had some time to recover losses. Now, according to my algorithm it is a Buy.
This retail stock has shed a lot of blood in the past two months and has much to recover yet. The risk:reward here is pretty attractive if you believe it is not yet the end for Macy's.


A Sell signal was given today to $BMY (last price: $48.96). Bristol Myers Squib has been quite volatile lately, having dropped around 10% on January 20th. It seems the algorithm is tired of this position and suggests getting rid of it.

To see general results of the algorithm click here.
Check out my Essential Reading List here (I may receive some compensation if you purchase anything on Amazon following my links)

TK

Full Disclosure: Nothing on this site should ever be considered to be advice, research or an invitation to buy or sell any securities, please see my About page for a full disclaimer.